Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.233863 0.276420 0.321829 0.373608 0.430740 0.491591 0.561037
2024-10-27 0.179742 0.237609 0.303756 0.383853 0.477124 0.581272 0.705317
2024-11-03 0.142134 0.209354 0.291294 0.395901 0.523323 0.671090 0.852970
2024-11-10 0.113735 0.186537 0.280931 0.407372 0.567551 0.759290 1.001692
2024-11-17 0.085881 0.158748 0.259692 0.401685 0.588577 0.819091 1.117765
2024-11-24 0.067971 0.141069 0.248776 0.406986 0.622113 0.894098 1.253564
2024-12-01 0.051207 0.121233 0.231607 0.401189 0.639421 0.947962 1.363536
2024-12-08 0.036367 0.100609 0.209869 0.385999 0.641872 0.981356 1.447183
2024-12-15 0.029130 0.091787 0.205015 0.394308 0.676148 1.056600 1.585509
2024-12-22 0.020998 0.078497 0.190588 0.386282 0.686033 1.098635 1.680642
2024-12-29 0.017875 0.075316 0.193106 0.404515 0.734091 1.193178 1.846446
2025-01-05 0.013428 0.067166 0.185255 0.405030 0.755464 1.250980 1.963824
2025-01-12 0.009931 0.060117 0.178680 0.407485 0.780404 1.315325 2.092826
2025-01-19 0.007874 0.056407 0.178178 0.420054 0.821057 1.402606 2.254511
2025-01-26 0.006274 0.053357 0.178532 0.433914 0.863915 1.493690 2.422675
2025-02-02 0.004915 0.050335 0.178437 0.446772 0.905391 1.583424 2.590202
2025-02-09 0.003122 0.043626 0.168723 0.441113 0.916778 1.629444 2.697479
2025-02-16 0.002165 0.039926 0.165430 0.447000 0.946719 1.702865 2.843797
2025-02-23 0.001217 0.034419 0.156406 0.440969 0.956515 1.746363 2.948288
2025-03-02 0.000498 0.027928 0.143012 0.424857 0.948390 1.762432 3.013605
2025-03-09 0.000289 0.025972 0.142039 0.433774 0.982769 1.842916 3.171687
2025-03-16 0.000086 0.021779 0.133137 0.425243 0.986535 1.876614 3.262674
2025-03-23 0.000054 0.021617 0.137208 0.444709 1.039585 1.986566 3.464992